Injury pivots define this slate 11/26

Overview

• The slate is driven by major Questionable tags for Zach Edey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Dennis Schroder, with bench pieces vaulting into starter-level minutes in several scenarios.
• Memphis and OKC show the most concentrated minute spikes, while Miami, Golden State and Sacramento provide secondary value and leverage depending on how the injury news breaks.
• Several fringe rotation players are projected for steep negative swings of -10.0 min or worse, creating clear avoid spots and indirect boosts for their teammates.

Daily Pivots

Key Pivots

Alpha Pivot

Gregory Jackson II jumps a massive +16.1 min if Zach Edey sits or is limited, the single largest spike on the slate. That level of run effectively turns him from a fringe piece into a core rotation player, giving him both a strong median projection and real ceiling access on both sites.

The Memphis fallout is also concentrated, with Vince Williams Jr. at +12.9 min and Cam Spencer at +11.9 min behind him. Builds that embrace the Edey-out scenario can comfortably run two Memphis values together, but you should be prepared for heavy ownership on Gregory Jackson II in any format once that news lands.

Secondary Pivots

• Trayce Jackson-Davis gains +15.3 min and Moses Moody adds +10.4 min in simulations where Draymond Green does not maintain his usual role. That creates a direct GSW value stack, with Trayce Jackson-Davis offering the higher ceiling profile and Moody fitting better as a complementary piece in balanced builds.
• If Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses, Branden Carlson jumps +14.5 min, Ousmane Dieng +12.5 min and Jaylin Williams +10.6 min, forming a three-man OKC value core. Large-field GPPs should aggressively leverage these minutes with 2-man OKC secondary stacks around one high-usage starter from elsewhere.
• With Dru Smith Questionable and Norman Powell Probable, Bam Adebayo picks up between +5.0 and +5.4 min across the simulations. That makes Bam one of the more secure mid-to-high spend pieces on the slate, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Pelle Larsson are clear losers at -10.9 min and -14.9 min respectively.
• Dennis Schroder being Questionable funnels +8.1 min to Malik Monk, pushing him into a near-featured role for Sacramento. Monk profiles as a strong mid-range tournament play, particularly in game environments where you already have exposure to other high-minute guards.

Value Targets

• Gregory Jackson II at +16.1 min is the premier salary saver and will likely be a staple in cash games and small-field builds once Edey news breaks, with tournament leverage coming from pairing him with or pivoting to Vince Williams Jr. or Cam Spencer.
• Trayce Jackson-Davis (+15.3 min) is an elite GPP value when you are comfortable betting against a full Draymond Green workload, with Moses Moody (+10.4 min) working better as a lower-owned filler in chalky constructions.
• If Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is ruled out, Branden Carlson (+14.5 min) and Ousmane Dieng (+12.5 min) become top-tier value options; in that scenario, fading the most popular of the two while still getting OKC exposure can create strong leverage.

Deep Rotation Notes

MEM - Edey ripple effects

• Beyond Gregory Jackson II, both Vince Williams Jr. (+12.9 min) and Cam Spencer (+11.9 min) are firmly in play when Zach Edey sits, enabling 2-man or even 3-man value stacks in large-field tournaments.
• In lineups where you fade Gregory Jackson II due to ownership concerns, a Vince Williams Jr. plus Cam Spencer pairing gives you direct leverage on the same game script at lower cumulative ownership.
• Be cautious about over-stacking Memphis in single-entry; three value pieces from one team all relying on the same injury increases correlation but also raises the risk if Edey ultimately plays a normal workload.

OKC - Guard and wing churn

• If the Probable tags (Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Chris Youngblood) hold, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander actually benefits with separate +5.2 min and +5.4 min bumps, reinforcing him as a top-end spend if active.
• Ajay Mitchell is one of the biggest losers on the slate at -12.6 min and -11.8 min in multiple OKC scenarios, making him an easy fade even in large-field GPPs.
• Jaylin Williams swings from -5.4 min when Branden Carlson is fine to +10.6 min if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is out, so you should only include him in builds that explicitly assume SGA misses.

GSW - Frontcourt shifts

• Trayce Jackson-Davis and Moses Moody are the main GSW beneficiaries from uncertainty around Draymond Green, gaining +15.3 min and +10.4 min respectively and forming a clear value pairing in game stacks.
• The data also shows Al Horford at +6.2 min and Jimmy Butler at -5.7 min in the same scenario, suggesting ripple effects on opposing rotations that slightly favor Horford while hurting Butler's stability.
• In tighter contests, prioritize Trayce Jackson-Davis as your one-off exposure and treat Moody more as part of multi-player stacks that lean into a fast-paced environment.

MIA - Bam-centric outcomes

• Bam Adebayo is consistently helped across Miami guard injury outcomes, with +5.0 min from Dru Smith being out and +5.4 min from Norman Powell being active and soaking up backcourt duties.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. (-10.9 min) and Pelle Larsson (-14.9 min) are among the most negatively affected players on the slate, making them poor options outside of extreme contrarian MME exposures.
• In builds where you roster Bam, you can comfortably stay underweight on the negatively affected wings to avoid cannibalized minutes and fragile floors.

MIL - Giannis uncertainty

• With Giannis Antetokounmpo Questionable, Ryan Rollins picks up +7.8 min, enough to put him on the tournament radar as a deep value guard.
• Rollins fits best in large-field GPPs where you are already fading other chalk value, as his viability is tightly tied to a single high-variance injury outcome.
• If Giannis is in, simply remove Rollins from your pool rather than trying to force thin minutes into otherwise strong lineups.

SAC - Backcourt pivot

• Dennis Schroder being Questionable hands Malik Monk a solid +8.1 min, which should translate into more stable opportunity and closing-run equity.
• Monk pairs well with other high-minute guards from Memphis or OKC in game environments that favor three-guard constructions.
• In single-entry, Monk works best as a one-off or mini-correlation piece rather than as part of a heavy Sacramento stack.

Roster Construction

• Build around clear decision points: Edey-out Memphis value and SGA-out OKC value are the primary inflection spots, so construct lineups that either fully embrace or fully fade each scenario instead of landing in the middle.
• When you lock in high-minute value such as Gregory Jackson II (+16.1 min) or Trayce Jackson-Davis (+15.3 min), pair them with stable, positively affected studs like Bam Adebayo rather than with players projected for -10.0 min or worse.
• Aggressively trim your pool of negatively affected fringe pieces such as Ajay Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Pelle Larsson, and use those freed-up roster spots to increase exposure to the concentrated winners from Memphis, OKC, GSW and Sacramento.