NBA DFS Analysis

NBA DFS Injury Pivots (01/02/26)

Nba Injury Daily Pivots News
Sean Szurko
Founder Sean Szurko
Published Jan 2, 2026
Updated Jan 2, 2026
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Overview

  • Questionable tags cluster across multiple teams, creating late-swap leverage if you build around the biggest minute deltas.
  • Several single-player situations open up extreme bench-minute consolidation (multiple +10 to +18 min outcomes).
  • There are also real landmines with double-digit negative minute swings, so tighten pools around roles that survive the news.

Daily Pivots

Team Injured player Affected teammate Minutes +/-
ATL Caleb Houstan D Asa Newell +7.0
Mouhamed Gueye -7.1
ATL RayJ Dennis D Asa Newell +10.0
ATL Trae Young Q Vit Krejci +7.0
BRK Terance Mann P Tyson Etienne +16.2
Nolan Traore +14.4
Jalen Wilson +7.8
Danny Wolf +5.2
CHO Miles Bridges P Tidjane Salaun +8.3
Josh Green +5.2
Moussa Diabate +5.1
KJ Simpson -7.2
CHO Moussa Diabate Q Liam McNeeley +6.6
KJ Simpson +5.4
Antonio Reeves -6.8
CLE De'Andre Hunter P Chris Livingston +12.4
Nae'Qwan Tomlin +9.5
Craig Porter Jr. +6.9
Dean Wade +5.9
Thomas Bryant -6.1
CLE Dean Wade Q Chris Livingston +12.4
Lonzo Ball +10.9
Tyrese Proctor +8.8
Nae'Qwan Tomlin -7.6
CLE Sam Merrill Q Jaylon Tyson +16.8
Nae'Qwan Tomlin +11.7
Craig Porter Jr. +9.9
Luke Travers +7.0
Thomas Bryant +5.2
DEN Jamal Murray P Jalen Pickett +14.2
Hunter Tyson +5.6
Julian Strawther -6.3
DEN Julian Strawther P DaRon Holmes +18.7
Spencer Jones +17.6
GSW Al Horford P Trayce Jackson-Davis +6.1
Gui Santos +6.0
GSW De'Anthony Melton Q Jonathan Kuminga +10.4
Al Horford +7.2
Gary Payton II +5.8
Trayce Jackson-Davis -5.9
Quinten Post -9.5
GSW Jimmy Butler Q Trayce Jackson-Davis +12.8
Quinten Post +10.4
Gui Santos +7.4
Pat Spencer +5.6
Stephen Curry +5.4
GSW Stephen Curry Q Pat Spencer +10.3
IND T.J. McConnell P Johnny Furphy +12.7
Jarace Walker +10.8
Quenton Jackson +9.4
Ben Sheppard +8.2
Tony Bradley +5.9
Bennedict Mathurin +5.8
Micah Potter -8.2
LAL Jarred Vanderbilt Q Nick Smith Jr. -5.8
Jake LaRavia -10.8
MEM Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Q Cedric Coward +10.1
Gregory Jackson II +5.5
Vince Williams Jr. -5.4
Christian Koloko -5.9
Cam Spencer -15.7
MIL Giannis Antetokounmpo P Andre Jackson Jr. +8.5
NOP Saddiq Bey Q Micah Peavy +10.2
Karlo Matkovic +9.8
Yves Missi +8.9
Jordan Hawkins +8.7
Bryce McGowens -8.7
NOP Trey Murphy III Q Micah Peavy +16.9
Trey Alexander +13.0
Bryce McGowens +12.4
Jordan Hawkins +7.3
Saddiq Bey +5.7
Jeremiah Fears +5.6
NYK Karl-Anthony Towns Q Trey Jemison +15.0
Ariel Hukporti +13.9
Mohamed Diawara +6.5
NYK Mitchell Robinson Q Ariel Hukporti +6.4
Miles McBride +5.5
Tyler Kolek -10.5
ORL Jonathan Isaac Q Jett Howard +6.2
Jamal Cain +5.8
PHO Grayson Allen Q Collin Gillespie +6.0
Jordan Goodwin +5.6
Nigel Hayes-Davis -6.2
WAS Tristan Vukcevic Q AJ Johnson +8.5
Will Riley +5.1
Jamir Watkins -14.7
Legend: If the Injured Player is ruled out, the Affected Teammate is expected to receive the listed +/- minutes.

Key Pivots

Alpha Pivot

DaRon Holmes is the biggest pure minutes spike on the slate at +18.7 min tied to Julian Strawther P. That is the kind of swing that can instantly create a core value piece if news breaks your way.

The important DFS angle is the downstream effect: Spencer Jones also jumps +17.6 min in the same scenario, meaning DEN value can become concentrated enough to support more expensive builds without forcing thin punts.

Secondary Pivots

  • BRK is a slate-shaper if Terance Mann P flips: Tyson Etienne (+16.2 min) and Nolan Traore (+14.4 min) are immediate salary-release candidates, with Jalen Wilson (+7.8 min) as the next layer.
  • NOP has stacked Q-driven volatility: if Trey Murphy III Q goes the wrong way, Micah Peavy (+16.9 min) and Trey Alexander (+13.0 min) become premium minute plugs; Bryce McGowens also swings to +12.4 min.
  • CLE has one of the cleanest “one tag, many winners” setups: Sam Merrill Q boosts Jaylon Tyson (+16.8 min) plus Craig Porter Jr. (+9.9 min) and Nae'Qwan Tomlin (+11.7 min).
  • NYK center minutes can consolidate fast: Karl-Anthony Towns Q pushes Trey Jemison to +15.0 min and Ariel Hukporti to +13.9 min, with Robinson Q adding another +6.4 min to Hukporti.

Value Targets

  • DaRon Holmes at +18.7 min is the top “if active into role” value trigger; in cash-style builds, prioritize the cleanest minutes first when this news goes your way.
  • Tyson Etienne (+16.2 min) and Micah Peavy (+16.9 min) are the kind of builds that will naturally condense roster construction; in large-field GPPs, consider pairing one with a less-obvious secondary from the same situation (for example Traore +14.4 min or Trey Alexander +13.0 min).
  • NYK bigs are straightforward salary relief if the tags break: Jemison (+15.0 min) and Hukporti (+13.9 min) can open multiple midrange paths.

Deep Rotation Notes

ATL - Frontcourt/wing ripple

  • Caleb Houstan D funnels +7.0 min to Asa Newell while pulling Mouhamed Gueye down -7.1 min.
  • RayJ Dennis D is another lever to Newell at +10.0 min.
  • Trae Young Q gives Vit Krejci a +7.0 min path if things tighten.

CHO - Mixed signals around Diabate

  • Miles Bridges P creates modest boosts: Tidjane Salaun +8.3 min, Josh Green +5.2 min, Moussa Diabate +5.1 min.
  • If Moussa Diabate Q is the one that turns, Liam McNeeley gains +6.6 min and KJ Simpson gains +5.4 min, while Antonio Reeves drops -6.8 min.

GSW - Multiple Q tags, different winners

  • Jimmy Butler Q is the cleanest: Trayce Jackson-Davis +12.8 min and Quinten Post +10.4 min, plus smaller bumps to Gui Santos and Pat Spencer.
  • De'Anthony Melton Q shifts minutes differently, with Jonathan Kuminga +10.4 min but also a -9.5 min downside to Quinten Post.
  • If Stephen Curry Q impacts the guard rotation, Pat Spencer carries a +10.3 min spike.

IND - Bench minutes can consolidate

  • T.J. McConnell P drives several playable minute outcomes: Johnny Furphy +12.7 min and Jarace Walker +10.8 min lead the list.
  • Micah Potter is the clear loser at -8.2 min in that same setup.

MEM - One tag with a major fade

  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Q puts Cedric Coward at +10.1 min, but Cam Spencer takes the biggest hit on the slate at -15.7 min.

WAS - Big negative to track

  • Tristan Vukcevic Q boosts AJ Johnson +8.5 min, but Jamir Watkins is a hard downgrade at -14.7 min.

Roster Construction

  • If DEN news breaks toward the Strawther pivot, treat DaRon Holmes (+18.7 min) as a primary enabler and decide early whether you also want the second piece (Spencer Jones +17.6 min) or you will stay underweight for leverage.
  • Be strict with negative-minute landmines: players at -10.0 min or worse (Cam Spencer -15.7 min, Jamir Watkins -14.7 min, Jake LaRavia -10.8 min, Tyler Kolek -10.5 min) are easy cuts unless your build explicitly bets on the opposite news outcome.
  • On multi-Q teams like GSW and NOP, avoid over-stacking uncertain roles; prefer one value beneficiary plus a stable minute earner from a different team to reduce lineup fragility.