Overview
- Late news has real teeth tonight with multiple questionable tags creating double digit minute swings across rotations.
- The clearest paths to salary relief come from replacement bigs and bench wings stepping into +10.0 min or more.
- There are also landmines: several regulars project for meaningful cuts (as large as -12.3 min), which matters in tighter roster builds.
Daily Pivots
| Team | Injured player | Affected teammate | Minutes +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | Kevin Huerter P | Julian Phillips | +7.8 |
| Patrick Williams | +6.6 | ||
| Ayo Dosunmu | +6.4 | ||
| Nikola Vucevic | -6.5 | ||
| Lachlan Olbrich | -6.8 | ||
| LAC | Ivica Zubac Q | Yanic Niederhauser | +15.5 |
| Brook Lopez | +10.3 | ||
| John Collins | -6.6 | ||
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | -12.3 | ||
| John Collins Q | Yanic Niederhauser | +13.3 | |
| Brook Lopez | +13.1 | ||
| Kawhi Leonard Q | Kobe Sanders | +8.7 | |
| Cam Christie | +8.3 | ||
| Jordan Miller | +7.3 | ||
| PHI | Dominick Barlow Q | Justin Edwards | +12.9 |
| Jared McCain | +11.0 | ||
| Johni Broome | -6.6 | ||
| Joel Embiid P | Justin Edwards | +15.1 | |
| Adem Bona | +10.6 | ||
| Eric Gordon | +8.6 | ||
| Johni Broome | +5.5 | ||
| MarJon Beauchamp D | Jared McCain | +17.2 | |
| Paul George P | Kyle Lowry | +9.4 | |
| Justin Edwards | +7.9 | ||
| Eric Gordon | +6.2 | ||
| Dominick Barlow | +5.8 | ||
| SAC | Domantas Sabonis Q | Maxime Raynaud | +20.5 |
| Dylan Cardwell | +11.7 | ||
| Keon Ellis | -5.6 | ||
| TOR | Garrett Temple Q | Ochai Agbaji | -5.7 |
| A.J. Lawson | -10.0 | ||
| Immanuel Quickley Q | Jamison Battle | +10.4 | |
| Gradey Dick | +10.2 | ||
| Ja'Kobe Walter | +8.8 | ||
| Collin Murray-Boyles | +7.6 | ||
| Jamal Shead | +7.0 | ||
| Ochai Agbaji | +5.6 | ||
| Alijah Martin | -7.9 | ||
| Jamison Battle D | Alijah Martin | -11.9 | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili Q | Jonathan Mogbo | +18.0 | |
| Jamison Battle | +14.1 | ||
| Gradey Dick | +12.6 | ||
| A.J. Lawson | +10.3 | ||
| Ochai Agbaji | +7.8 | ||
| Collin Murray-Boyles | +6.2 | ||
| Ja'Kobe Walter | +5.4 | ||
| Scottie Barnes | -6.1 |
Legend: If the Injured Player is ruled out, the Affected Teammate is expected to receive the listed +/- minutes.
Key Pivots
Alpha Pivot
Maxime Raynaud is the slate’s biggest minutes lever at +20.5 min if Domantas Sabonis Q sits. That is the cleanest path to unlocking expensive builds, because a single role change can reshape the entire roster tree.
The follow through matters too: Dylan Cardwell also jumps +11.7 min in that same scenario, while Keon Ellis takes a -5.6 min hit. If you are stacking SAC value, be intentional about which pieces you pair it with and which you fade.
Secondary Pivots
- Toronto frontcourt swing: if Sandro Mamukelashvili Q is out, Jonathan Mogbo picks up +18.0 min, with Jamison Battle at +14.1 min and Gradey Dick at +12.6 min. That is a multi value situation that can dominate roster construction.
- Philadelphia wing value: MarJon Beauchamp D drives Jared McCain to +17.2 min. That is a strong minutes based value profile that plays in any contest if the tag holds.
- Clippers center domino: Ivica Zubac Q creates +15.5 min for Yanic Niederhauser and +10.3 min for Brook Lopez, while Bogdan Bogdanovic gets clipped at -12.3 min. Treat this as a two sided spot: value opens, but there is also a clear fade candidate.
- Philadelphia layering: Dominick Barlow Q adds +12.9 min to Justin Edwards and +11.0 min to Jared McCain, and Paul George P lifts Kyle Lowry +9.4 min. PHI can condense quickly if multiple tags break the same direction.
Value Targets
- Maxime Raynaud (+20.5 min) is the premier salary saver if Sabonis Q sits, and it is the type of minutes spike that can become cash chalk.
- Jared McCain (+17.2 min) gets a direct boost from Beauchamp D and can layer additional upside in the Barlow Q branch (+11.0 min).
- Jonathan Mogbo (+18.0 min) is the Toronto punt that can swing GPP builds if Mamukelashvili Q news lands later than other value.
Deep Rotation Notes
CHI - Huerter ripple
- Kevin Huerter P shifts minutes toward Julian Phillips (+7.8 min), Patrick Williams (+6.6 min), and Ayo Dosunmu (+6.4 min).
- Be careful with negative fallout pieces: Nikola Vucevic (-6.5 min) and Lachlan Olbrich (-6.8 min) become harder to justify in balanced builds.
LAC - Multiple Q tags, multiple paths
- John Collins Q sitting independently still boosts Yanic Niederhauser (+13.3 min) and Brook Lopez (+13.1 min).
- Kawhi Leonard Q would open mid tier wings: Kobe Sanders (+8.7 min), Cam Christie (+8.3 min), Jordan Miller (+7.3 min).
- The biggest red flag in the entire LAC tree is Bogdan Bogdanovic at -12.3 min tied to the Zubac Q outcome.
PHI - Condensation across three different inputs
- Joel Embiid P drives Justin Edwards (+15.1 min) and Adem Bona (+10.6 min), plus Eric Gordon (+8.6 min).
- Dominick Barlow Q is a separate lever that hurts Johni Broome (-6.6 min) while boosting Edwards (+12.9 min) and McCain (+11.0 min).
- Paul George P supports secondary minutes: Kyle Lowry (+9.4 min), Edwards (+7.9 min), Gordon (+6.2 min), Barlow (+5.8 min).
TOR - Volatile wing rotation
- Immanuel Quickley Q creates broad boosts led by Jamison Battle (+10.4 min) and Gradey Dick (+10.2 min), with multiple others at +7.0 min or better.
- There are conflicting signals on Alijah Martin (-7.9 min via Quickley Q, -11.9 min via Battle Doubtful). Treat Martin as fragile unless news cleanly resolves.
- Garrett Temple Q pushes Ochai Agbaji (-5.7 min) and A.J. Lawson (-10.0 min) down in his branch, while Mamukelashvili Q being out would pull Lawson back up (+10.3 min). This is a pure late swap spot.
Roster Construction
- If you are prioritizing the elite value, start with Maxime Raynaud (+20.5 min) or Jonathan Mogbo (+18.0 min) and use late swap to react to SAC and TOR tags.
- Limit exposure to roles showing clear downside, especially Bogdan Bogdanovic (-12.3 min) and A.J. Lawson (-10.0 min), unless you are intentionally leveraging uncertainty in large field GPPs.
- PHI stacks best when you commit to one news branch: pair Jared McCain (+17.2 min) with Justin Edwards (+15.1 min) only if you are comfortable embracing correlated rotation outcomes.
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