Overview
- Most of the real movement sits in Sacramento, Detroit, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee, with several rotation pieces gaining at least +10.0 min.
- The cleanest single swing belongs to Sacramento, where Killian Hayes being unavailable would push Keegan Murray to +25.9 min.
- Detroit is the most volatile team on the slate because multiple questionable and probable tags send the same value pieces in very different directions.
Daily Pivots
| Team | Injured player | Affected teammate | Minutes +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET | Ausar Thompson Q | Daniss Jenkins | +15.3 |
| Tolu Smith | +14.3 | ||
| Chaz Lanier | +13.9 | ||
| Marcus Sasser | +10.7 | ||
| Ronald Holland | +5.7 | ||
| DET | Caris LeVert P | Kevin Huerter | +6.4 |
| Marcus Sasser | +5.1 | ||
| Tolu Smith | -9.8 | ||
| DET | Duncan Robinson Q | Daniss Jenkins | +7.8 |
| Tolu Smith | +6.2 | ||
| Chaz Lanier | +5.0 | ||
| DET | Jalen Duren Q | Tolu Smith | +12.2 |
| Ronald Holland | +5.4 | ||
| Marcus Sasser | -7.2 | ||
| DET | Marcus Sasser P | Chaz Lanier | +6.2 |
| Tolu Smith | +6.1 | ||
| DET | Tobias Harris Q | Javonte Green | +11.2 |
| Daniss Jenkins | +8.7 | ||
| Wendell Moore Jr. | +8.6 | ||
| Chaz Lanier | +7.1 | ||
| Isaiah Stewart | +6.4 | ||
| Ronald Holland | +5.8 | ||
| Kevin Huerter | -5.4 | ||
| MIL | Bobby Portis Q | Ousmane Dieng | +10.3 |
| MIL | Gary Harris Q | Pete Nance | +14.1 |
| Ousmane Dieng | +6.4 | ||
| MIL | Kyle Kuzma Q | Pete Nance | +12.7 |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | +7.8 | ||
| Ousmane Dieng | +5.7 | ||
| Ryan Rollins | -5.9 | ||
| MIL | Myles Turner Q | Taurean Prince | +9.7 |
| Pete Nance | +8.1 | ||
| Ousmane Dieng | +7.7 | ||
| Bobby Portis | +5.5 | ||
| MIN | Ayo Dosunmu Q | Jaylen Clark | +7.4 |
| PHI | Kelly Oubre Jr. Q | Justin Edwards | +10.9 |
| Dalen Terry | +10.5 | ||
| Adem Bona | +7.1 | ||
| Quentin Grimes | +6.0 | ||
| Cameron Payne | +6.0 | ||
| Trendon Watford | +5.5 | ||
| Kyle Lowry | -10.1 | ||
| PHI | Tyrese Maxey Q | Dalen Terry | +12.2 |
| Justin Edwards | +11.2 | ||
| Cameron Payne | +9.5 | ||
| Quentin Grimes | +7.3 | ||
| SAC | Killian Hayes Q | Keegan Murray | +25.9 |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | +16.5 | ||
| Dylan Cardwell | +5.6 | ||
| Daeqwon Plowden | -6.1 | ||
| Maxime Raynaud | -8.2 | ||
| Doug McDermott | -9.5 | ||
| Devin Carter | -10.7 | ||
| Nique Clifford | -14.1 |
Legend: If the Injured Player is ruled out, the Affected Teammate is expected to receive the listed +/- minutes.
Key Pivots
Alpha Pivot
Keegan Murray is the clear top minute winner on the slate at +25.9 min if Killian Hayes is unavailable. Nothing else in the pool matches that raw shift, and it comes with clear rotation consolidation behind it.
The same Sacramento setup also sends Patrick Baldwin Jr. to +16.5 min while pushing several teammates sharply down, including Devin Carter at -10.7 and Nique Clifford at -14.1. That is the kind of redistribution that creates a strong cash core and still leaves room for GPP stacking within the same team context.
Secondary Pivots
- Philadelphia has the cleanest overlapping value behind Sacramento. Justin Edwards gains +10.9 min from Kelly Oubre Jr. and +11.2 min from Tyrese Maxey, while Dalen Terry picks up +10.5 and +12.2 in those same scenarios.
- Detroit offers big numbers, but the paths are messier. Daniss Jenkins climbs to +15.3 with Ausar Thompson out and +8.7 with Tobias Harris out, while Tolu Smith ranges from +14.3 with Ausar out to -9.8 with Caris LeVert available.
- Milwaukee is the multi-out team to watch. Pete Nance gets +14.1 with Gary Harris out, +12.7 with Kyle Kuzma out, and +8.1 with Myles Turner out, which makes him one of the strongest conditional value pieces on the board.
- Ousmane Dieng also keeps showing up in Milwaukee. He gains +10.3 with Bobby Portis out and adds smaller boosts off Gary Harris, Kyle Kuzma, and Myles Turner absences, giving him more than one viable path.
Value Targets
- Keegan Murray is the best pure minutes value if the Sacramento setup breaks that way. A +25.9 min jump is strong enough for cash games and still difficult to fade in chalkier GPP constructions.
- Justin Edwards and Dalen Terry are the best Philadelphia salary relief paths because both benefit from either Kelly Oubre Jr. or Tyrese Maxey being unavailable. That overlap makes them sturdier than one-path options like Cameron Payne or Quentin Grimes.
- Pete Nance is the best Milwaukee punt if the team loses one or more questionable pieces. He fits best as a late-swap value target because his role can improve through several different injury outcomes.
Deep Rotation Notes
DET - Multi path volatility
- Daniss Jenkins is one of the top Detroit winners overall, gaining +15.3 with Ausar Thompson out, +7.8 with Duncan Robinson out, and +8.7 with Tobias Harris out.
- Tolu Smith is the highest-variance Detroit value piece. He gains +14.3 off Ausar Thompson, +12.2 off Jalen Duren, and +6.1 off Marcus Sasser, but loses -9.8 when Caris LeVert is active.
- Chaz Lanier keeps picking up secondary boosts at +13.9 from Ausar Thompson, +5.0 from Duncan Robinson, +6.2 from Marcus Sasser, and +7.1 from Tobias Harris.
MIL - Repeated frontcourt boosts
- Pete Nance is the standout Milwaukee beneficiary because his minutes rise in three separate scenarios: +14.1, +12.7, and +8.1.
- Ousmane Dieng is the other repeated winner, gaining +10.3 from Bobby Portis and additional boosts of +6.4, +5.7, and +7.7 from other absences.
- Taurean Prince at +9.7 and Andre Jackson Jr. at +7.8 are thinner secondary options tied to specific injury paths rather than broad all-purpose value.
PHI - Strong overlap, one clear fade
- Justin Edwards and Dalen Terry are the strongest Philadelphia targets because both gain from Kelly Oubre Jr. and Tyrese Maxey scenarios.
- Cameron Payne at +9.5 off Maxey and Quentin Grimes at +7.3 off Maxey remain viable secondary guards, but they do not carry the same two-way overlap.
- Kyle Lowry is the main negative flag here, dropping -10.1 when Kelly Oubre Jr. is unavailable.
SAC and MIN - Concentrated notes
- Sacramento is extremely concentrated if Killian Hayes misses. Keegan Murray jumps +25.9 and Patrick Baldwin Jr. follows at +16.5.
- That same Sacramento build trims multiple rotation pieces, notably Doug McDermott at -9.5, Devin Carter at -10.7, and Nique Clifford at -14.1.
- Minnesota is much simpler. Jaylen Clark gets +7.4 if Ayo Dosunmu is unavailable, but there is no broader team-wide cascade in this data set.
Roster Construction
- If you build around Keegan Murray at +25.9 min, be careful not to overstack the Sacramento pieces that lose time in the same setup, especially Devin Carter and Nique Clifford.
- Treat Detroit as a news-reactive team, not a blind value team. The same group has massive winners and losers depending on which tag changes, so narrow your exposure to the exact inactive path.
- Philadelphia and Milwaukee are strong places to find secondary value around a core build. Justin Edwards, Dalen Terry, Pete Nance, and Ousmane Dieng all have multiple routes to extra minutes, which makes them cleaner complements than one-scenario darts.
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