NBA DFS Analysis

NBA DFS Injury Pivots & Minute Adjustments (12/17/25)

Nba Injury Daily Pivots News
Sean Szurko
Founder Sean Szurko
Published Dec 17, 2025
Updated Dec 17, 2025
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Overview

  • Multiple high impact Q tags sit on primary names, creating a slate where late news can flip the best roster builds quickly.
  • MEM is the main minutes engine with several players gaining +7.0 min or more, plus a couple meaningful negative deltas.
  • CHI is tighter, but still offers a clean minutes-for-minutes swap if the Q tag breaks the wrong way.

Daily Pivots

Team Injured player Affected teammate Minutes +/-
CHI Ayo Dosunmu Q Julian Phillips +6.6
Lachlan Olbrich -7.7
MEM Brandon Clarke Q Scotty Pippen Jr. +10.6
Cam Spencer +10.0
Gregory Jackson II +7.7
Zach Edey +7.2
MEM Ja Morant D Gregory Jackson II +15.7
Olivier-Maxence Prosper +12.6
Scotty Pippen Jr. +7.4
Vince Williams Jr. +7.1
John Konchar +5.5
Jock Landale -8.4
Javon Small -8.5
MIN Anthony Edwards Q Joe Ingles +12.4
Rob Dillingham +7.8
Terrence Shannon Jr. +7.1
Jaylen Clark +6.2
Legend: If the Injured Player is ruled out, the Affected Teammate is expected to receive the listed +/- minutes.

Key Pivots

Alpha Pivot

Gregory Jackson II is the slate’s top minutes winner at +15.7 min tied to Ja Morant D. That kind of raw playing time spike can create both ceiling and a strong floor path, especially when it is not a marginal +3 to +5.

He also shows up as a gainer if Brandon Clarke Q sits (+7.7 min), so MEM news can stack in his favor and push him into priority status on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Secondary Pivots

  • If Anthony Edwards Q misses, Joe Ingles jumps +12.4 min, with Rob Dillingham (+7.8 min) and Terrence Shannon Jr. (+7.1 min) also becoming immediate rotation winners.
  • If Ja Morant D is out, Olivier-Maxence Prosper (+12.6 min) is the next biggest MEM beneficiary, and Scotty Pippen Jr. (+7.4 min) and Vince Williams Jr. (+7.1 min) strengthen as minutes-based plays.
  • If Brandon Clarke Q sits, Cam Spencer (+10.0 min) and Scotty Pippen Jr. (+10.6 min) look like the cleanest direct minute climbs in MEM.

Value Targets

  • Gregory Jackson II (+15.7 min) is the clearest salary relief path and fits both chalky builds and smaller-field single entry constructions when MEM value is popular.
  • Joe Ingles (+12.4 min) profiles as the best MIN punt-style minutes unlock if that Q tag breaks out, while Rob Dillingham (+7.8 min) is a complementary value piece when you need a second cheap slot.
  • Cam Spencer (+10.0 min) is a strong value candidate specifically if Brandon Clarke news drives the MEM rotation, but be mindful his value case is more conditional than the Morant-driven boosts.

Deep Rotation Notes

CHI - Dosunmu ripple

  • Julian Phillips gains +6.6 min if Ayo Dosunmu Q sits, making him the only positive minutes note from CHI in this data set.
  • Lachlan Olbrich takes a -7.7 min hit in the same scenario, making him a clear avoid relative to baseline builds.

MEM - Two levers to track

  • Ja Morant D creates the slate’s biggest concentration of minutes swings, led by Gregory Jackson II (+15.7 min) and Olivier-Maxence Prosper (+12.6 min).
  • Brandon Clarke Q separately boosts multiple pieces, most notably Scotty Pippen Jr. (+10.6 min) and Cam Spencer (+10.0 min).
  • Jock Landale (-8.4 min) and Javon Small (-8.5 min) are the clear losers in the Morant-out sim and are thin leverage unless you have a specific game-theory reason.

MIN - Edwards gatekeeper

  • If Anthony Edwards Q sits, Joe Ingles (+12.4 min) is the standout minutes spike, with Dillingham (+7.8 min) and Shannon Jr. (+7.1 min) as secondary add-ons.
  • Jaylen Clark (+6.2 min) is viable as the last piece in a stars-and-scrubs construction when you need pure minutes access.

Roster Construction

  • Treat MEM as the primary build fork: if you play Gregory Jackson II at +15.7 min, you can comfortably pair him with one other MEM gainer (for example +7.4 to +12.6 min) and lean into that rotation shift.
  • Actively cap or fade the sharp negative minute pieces (-8.4 min to -8.5 min) in most contest types, since you are fighting both playing time and opportunity.
  • If MIN news opens Joe Ingles at +12.4 min, he is a clean way to fund higher-salary anchors while keeping a stable minutes floor in the lineup.